Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.000798 0.000855 0.000915 0.000983 0.001059 0.001140 0.001234
2026-01-11 0.000707 0.000784 0.000869 0.000971 0.001089 0.001223 0.001389
2026-01-18 0.000651 0.000739 0.000841 0.000966 0.001118 0.001298 0.001531
2026-01-25 0.000695 0.000812 0.000949 0.001126 0.001352 0.001634 0.002021
2026-02-01 0.000637 0.000755 0.000897 0.001084 0.001330 0.001646 0.002097
2026-02-08 0.000593 0.000711 0.000857 0.001054 0.001318 0.001668 0.002184
2026-02-15 0.000562 0.000682 0.000834 0.001041 0.001326 0.001715 0.002308
2026-02-22 0.000529 0.000649 0.000802 0.001015 0.001314 0.001732 0.002387
2026-03-01 0.000496 0.000613 0.000764 0.000978 0.001283 0.001717 0.002416
2026-03-08 0.000474 0.000592 0.000745 0.000965 0.001285 0.001750 0.002520
2026-03-15 0.000453 0.000570 0.000723 0.000947 0.001277 0.001768 0.002601
2026-03-22 0.000424 0.000536 0.000685 0.000903 0.001229 0.001719 0.002567
2026-03-29 0.000398 0.000507 0.000654 0.000872 0.001203 0.001713 0.002617
2026-04-05 0.000381 0.000489 0.000637 0.000861 0.001207 0.001753 0.002757
2026-04-12 0.000367 0.000476 0.000626 0.000856 0.001221 0.001811 0.002934
2026-04-19 0.000395 0.000522 0.000703 0.000992 0.001470 0.002292 0.003994
2026-04-26 0.000373 0.000496 0.000673 0.000957 0.001434 0.002269 0.004045
2026-05-03 0.000356 0.000476 0.000649 0.000931 0.001412 0.002270 0.004146
2026-05-10 0.000343 0.000462 0.000635 0.000920 0.001415 0.002317 0.004354
2026-05-17 0.000328 0.000444 0.000615 0.000899 0.001396 0.002321 0.004465
2026-05-24 0.000312 0.000424 0.000589 0.000867 0.001358 0.002283 0.004472
2026-05-31 0.000302 0.000412 0.000577 0.000856 0.001357 0.002319 0.004663
2026-06-07 0.000292 0.000400 0.000562 0.000841 0.001346 0.002334 0.004806